Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market
By Component;
Compressors, Gas Coolers and Valves & ControlsBy Function;
Refrigeration, Heating and Air-ConditioningBy Installation Type;
New-Build and RetrofitBy Application;
Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Super Markets and OthersBy End-user Industry;
Food Retail, Food & Beverage Manufacturing and Logistics & WarehousingBy Geography;
North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa and Latin America - Report Timeline (2021 - 2031)Transcritical Co2 Market Overview
Transcritical Co2 Market (USD Million)
Transcritical Co2 Market was valued at USD 152,527.84 million in the year 2024. The size of this market is expected to increase to USD 1,583,886.18 million by the year 2031, while growing at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 39.7%.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market
*Market size in USD million
CAGR 39.7 %
| Study Period | 2025 - 2031 | 
|---|---|
| Base Year | 2024 | 
| CAGR (%) | 39.7 % | 
| Market Size (2024) | USD 152,527.84 Million | 
| Market Size (2031) | USD 1,583,886.18 Million | 
| Market Concentration | Low | 
| Report Pages | 331 | 
Major Players
- ADVANSOR
 - Baltimore Aircoil Company
 - BITZER
 - Carnot Corporation
 - Carrier
 - Danfoss
 - Emerson Electric Co.
 - Henry Technologies
 - LMP SYSTEMS
 - MAYEKAWA MFG. CO., LTD.
 - Panasonic Corporation
 - PARKER HANNIFIN CORP
 - SCM Frigo S.P.A.
 - Shecco
 - TEKO Gesellschaft fr Kltetechnik MbH
 
Market Concentration
Consolidated - Market dominated by 1 - 5 major players
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market
Fragmented - Highly competitive market without dominant players
The transcritical CO2 market is experiencing significant growth due to rising concerns around environmental sustainability. With industries steadily moving away from high-GWP refrigerants, the demand for natural and safe alternatives like CO2 is accelerating. Current data shows that transcritical CO2 systems now account for more than 30% of commercial refrigeration upgrades, driven by their low ecological footprint and energy efficiency.
Technological Innovations Enhancing Efficiency
Recent developments in CO2 system design have substantially boosted their efficiency and reliability. Technologies such as multi-ejector modules, parallel compression, and high-performance gas coolers are making these systems more viable. These advancements have improved overall energy savings by 25%, making transcritical CO2 systems increasingly favorable over conventional cooling methods.
Rising Application in Industrial Systems
The appeal of transcritical CO2 systems is also growing in sectors like cold chain logistics and food processing. These systems are valued for maintaining optimal temperatures while minimizing emissions. Over 40% of new industrial refrigeration setups now integrate CO2 technology, emphasizing its critical role in modern energy-efficient infrastructure.
Strong Market Momentum Ahead
As sustainability becomes central to system design, the transcritical CO2 market is positioned for continued expansion. Its role in reducing emissions while delivering operational benefits is fostering widespread interest. Nearly 45% of current refrigeration upgrades prefer CO2-based solutions, signaling the market’s robust future growth prospects.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market Key Takeaways
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The Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) market is expanding rapidly due to rising demand for eco-friendly refrigeration and cooling systems. Growing restrictions on hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) use are accelerating the shift toward natural refrigerant technologies.
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Increasing adoption of CO₂-based refrigeration systems in supermarkets, cold storage, and industrial facilities is driving market growth. These systems offer high energy efficiency and zero ozone depletion potential, making them ideal for sustainable operations.
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Technological advancements in compressor design and heat exchanger efficiency are enhancing system performance and reliability. Manufacturers are focusing on reducing operational costs and improving system scalability for commercial and industrial use.
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Europe dominates the market due to strict environmental regulations and strong adoption of green cooling solutions, while Asia-Pacific is emerging as the fastest-growing region driven by urbanization and industrial expansion.
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The rising demand for energy-efficient and climate-neutral systems is encouraging partnerships between component suppliers and OEMs. These collaborations are promoting technological integration and optimized system design.
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Challenges such as high initial installation costs and technical complexity are restraining adoption in developing economies. However, growing awareness of long-term cost savings and sustainability benefits is expected to mitigate these barriers.
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Leading market players are investing in R&D for next-generation CO₂ systems, strategic partnerships, and regional expansion. Their focus on innovation and environmental compliance is shaping the future of the refrigeration industry.
 
Transcritical Co2 Market Recent Developments
-  
In 2023, Danfoss launched a new range of transcritical CO2 compressors, enhancing efficiency and capacity for commercial refrigeration applications.
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In 2022, Carrier introduced the CO2OLtec Evo, a transcritical CO2 system with advanced energy-saving features, gaining traction in European markets.
 
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market Segment Analysis
In this report, the Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market has been segmented by Function, Component Type, System Type, Application, End User, and Geography.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by Function
The Function segment of the market includes Refrigeration, Heating, and Air Conditioning. These functions define the diverse applications of transcritical CO₂ systems across industrial and commercial environments. Growing regulatory restrictions on hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and rising focus on low-global-warming-potential (GWP) solutions are driving adoption across all segments.
Refrigeration
The Refrigeration function dominates the market, accounting for a substantial share due to the increased use of CO₂-based systems in supermarkets and cold storage facilities. These systems deliver superior performance in temperature-sensitive environments and comply with stringent carbon emission norms. Continuous advancements in heat recovery integration are further enhancing their operational efficiency.
Heating
The Heating function is witnessing strong growth due to the rising demand for renewable energy-based heating solutions. CO₂ systems offer a high coefficient of performance (COP), making them ideal for industrial and residential heating applications. Their scalability and energy savings make them a sustainable replacement for fossil-fuel-based systems.
Air Conditioning
The Air Conditioning function segment is expanding as transcritical CO₂ systems are increasingly deployed in commercial buildings and transport refrigeration units. The technology offers enhanced cooling efficiency even in warm climates through optimized gas cooler designs and advanced control systems. Growing infrastructure modernization supports its adoption across emerging economies.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by Component Type
By Component Type, the market is segmented into Compressors, Heat Exchangers, Expansion Valves, and Condensers. Each component contributes critically to system performance, energy optimization, and overall lifecycle cost. Innovations in material science and control automation are improving system reliability and efficiency.
Compressors
Compressors form the core of transcritical CO₂ systems, ensuring high-pressure stability and continuous operation efficiency. Technological progress in two-stage and parallel compression is enabling reduced energy consumption by up to 15% in modern systems. Market demand is also being fueled by smart compressor control technologies for adaptive load management.
Heat Exchangers
Heat Exchangers play a vital role in thermal management and efficiency enhancement. Manufacturers are focusing on microchannel and plate-type heat exchangers for optimized heat transfer and compact design. Their growing integration in supermarket and industrial refrigeration systems supports the overall market growth trajectory.
Expansion Valves
The Expansion Valves segment is crucial for regulating pressure and temperature within transcritical cycles. The adoption of electronic expansion valves (EEVs) offers precise control, improving system stability and performance. Demand is rising from both commercial refrigeration and air conditioning systems as operators seek better energy management.
Condensers
Condensers in transcritical CO₂ systems act as gas coolers, enabling efficient heat dissipation at high operating pressures. Innovations in air-cooled and water-cooled condenser designs are boosting performance even in high ambient temperature regions. The focus on reducing operational noise and improving corrosion resistance is supporting the segment’s steady expansion.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by System Type
Based on System Type, the market includes Chilled Water Systems, Direct Expansion Systems, and Heat Recovery Systems. Each system configuration offers specific operational benefits tailored to end-use applications, balancing performance and environmental sustainability goals.
Chilled Water Systems
Chilled Water Systems are primarily used in large-scale industrial and commercial buildings. These systems offer flexible cooling distribution and consistent temperature regulation, making them ideal for process cooling and large infrastructure applications. Increasing use in data centers and manufacturing plants is propelling demand.
Direct Expansion Systems
The Direct Expansion Systems segment is witnessing significant adoption due to its simple design and superior energy efficiency. These systems minimize refrigerant charge and enable faster installation, making them suitable for small- to medium-scale applications. The rise in modular CO₂-based systems has further enhanced adoption in retail environments.
Heat Recovery Systems
Heat Recovery Systems are gaining traction as sustainability priorities grow. These systems recover waste heat for space and water heating, enhancing overall energy efficiency. Their integration with supermarkets and food processing facilities has reduced utility costs and carbon emissions substantially.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by Application
The market by Application is divided into Commercial Refrigeration, Industrial Refrigeration, Residential Heating & Cooling, Heat Pumps, and Food Processing. Growing emphasis on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and achieving net-zero goals is driving investments in CO₂-based systems across these sectors.
Commercial Refrigeration
Commercial Refrigeration leads the market due to extensive adoption in supermarkets, convenience stores, and retail chains. The segment benefits from increasing preference for eco-friendly refrigerants and growing retail expansion across Europe and North America. Enhanced control technologies have improved system efficiency by up to 20%.
Industrial Refrigeration
The Industrial Refrigeration segment is expanding as industries such as food processing, cold storage, and logistics adopt CO₂ systems for sustainability and performance. These systems offer long-term operational stability and low maintenance compared to conventional refrigerants, making them a strategic investment.
Residential Heating & Cooling
Residential Heating & Cooling applications are emerging rapidly, driven by the rise of heat pump installations and energy-efficient housing projects. The growing consumer awareness of carbon-neutral heating systems has significantly boosted interest in CO₂-based units in both developed and developing regions.
Heat Pumps
Heat Pumps utilizing CO₂ as a refrigerant are gaining popularity due to their high thermal efficiency and low environmental footprint. These systems are increasingly being installed for district heating and water heating applications, supported by government subsidies and sustainability mandates.
Food Processing
In Food Processing, transcritical CO₂ systems ensure precise temperature control essential for product quality and safety. The ability to operate at low temperatures without harmful emissions makes them a preferred solution in modern food preservation and packaging facilities.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by End User
By End User, the market includes Supermarkets, Food & Beverage Industry, Pharmaceuticals, and Cold Storage Facilities. These sectors represent the primary users of CO₂ systems, leveraging their efficiency and regulatory compliance advantages to optimize operational performance.
Supermarkets
Supermarkets dominate the end-user landscape due to the widespread deployment of CO₂-based refrigeration systems in retail chains. Their ability to meet stringent environmental regulations and deliver cost savings on energy consumption positions them as the preferred choice among retailers globally.
Food & Beverage Industry
The Food & Beverage Industry uses transcritical CO₂ systems extensively for process cooling and preservation. As sustainability becomes a corporate priority, leading food producers are investing in CO₂ technology to achieve carbon neutrality and improve process reliability.
Pharmaceuticals
The Pharmaceutical sector is adopting CO₂ systems for temperature-sensitive storage and vaccine preservation. The demand is increasing due to stringent product stability regulations and the growing need for sustainable cold chain solutions.
Cold Storage Facilities
Cold Storage Facilities rely heavily on transcritical CO₂ systems to maintain consistent and energy-efficient cooling environments. Expansion of global cold chain logistics and e-commerce food delivery services is significantly contributing to market growth.
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market, Segmentation by Geography
In this report, the Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) Market has been segmented by Geography into five regions: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa and Latin America.
Regions and Countries Analyzed in this Report
North America
North America holds a major share in the transcritical CO₂ market, driven by stringent refrigerant regulations and strong presence of cold chain infrastructure. The U.S. leads in supermarket installations, with adoption rates surpassing 45% in some states. Continuous R&D investment supports innovation in high-efficiency systems.
Europe
Europe remains the global leader due to early adoption of CO₂-based refrigeration systems under the EU F-Gas Regulation. Countries like Germany, the UK, and Denmark have achieved large-scale deployment in retail and food processing. Ongoing sustainability commitments are expected to sustain growth momentum through 2030.
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific is projected to record the fastest CAGR, fueled by industrial expansion in China, Japan, and India. Rapid urbanization and growing food retail chains are increasing demand for energy-efficient cooling solutions. Government initiatives promoting low-GWP technologies further enhance regional adoption.
Middle East and Africa
The Middle East and Africa region is witnessing growing adoption as countries invest in green building standards and modern cold storage infrastructure. Rising food imports and large-scale retail expansion are driving system installations, particularly in the Gulf region.
Latin America
Latin America is gradually transitioning toward CO₂-based systems as part of broader sustainability commitments. Brazil and Mexico are at the forefront, leveraging partnerships with European technology suppliers to modernize cold chain and commercial refrigeration facilities.
Transcritical Co2 Market Trends
This report provides an in depth analysis of various factors that impact the dynamics of Transcritical Co2 Market. These factors include; Market Drivers, Restraints and Opportunities Analysis
Comprehensive Market Impact Matrix
This matrix outlines how core market forces—Drivers, Restraints, and Opportunities—affect key business dimensions including Growth, Competition, Customer Behavior, Regulation, and Innovation.
| Market Forces ↓ / Impact Areas → | Market Growth Rate | Competitive Landscape | Customer Behavior | Regulatory Influence | Innovation Potential | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drivers | High impact (e.g., tech adoption, rising demand) | Encourages new entrants and fosters expansion | Increases usage and enhances demand elasticity | Often aligns with progressive policy trends | Fuels R&D initiatives and product development | 
| Restraints | Slows growth (e.g., high costs, supply chain issues) | Raises entry barriers and may drive market consolidation | Deters consumption due to friction or low awareness | Introduces compliance hurdles and regulatory risks | Limits innovation appetite and risk tolerance | 
| Opportunities | Unlocks new segments or untapped geographies | Creates white space for innovation and M&A | Opens new use cases and shifts consumer preferences | Policy shifts may offer strategic advantages | Sparks disruptive innovation and strategic alliances | 
Drivers, Restraints and Opportunity Analysis
Drivers
- Rising demand for natural refrigerants
 - Supportive regulatory framework for low GWP
 - Energy-efficient commercial cooling systems
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Phase-out of harmful fluorinated gases - The phase-out of harmful fluorinated gases is a major catalyst for growth in the global transcritical CO₂ market. With rising global concerns over climate change, regulatory frameworks such as the Kigali Amendment and F-Gas regulations are accelerating the transition away from high-GWP hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). These mandates are compelling industries to adopt sustainable alternatives like CO₂-based refrigeration systems, which offer low global warming potential, non-flammability, and compliance with environmental standards.
As governments and corporations commit to long-term carbon neutrality goals, the demand for natural refrigerants is rising sharply. Transcritical CO₂ systems are particularly suited for commercial refrigeration and industrial cooling where energy efficiency and sustainability are paramount. The global phase-down of fluorinated gases is not only reshaping purchasing decisions but also fueling innovation, investment, and adoption of eco-friendly refrigeration technologies that meet emerging regulatory and environmental expectations.
 
Restraints
- High initial setup and system costs
 - Complex design and operational challenges
 - Limited technician training and availability
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Pressure-related equipment compatibility issues - Pressure-related equipment compatibility issues are a critical restraint in the global transcritical CO₂ market due to the unique operational demands of these systems. Unlike traditional refrigeration systems, transcritical CO₂ systems operate under much higher pressures, requiring specially designed compressors, heat exchangers, valves, and piping materials. Many existing installations lack the infrastructure to support such components, leading to higher installation and retrofitting costs. This limits widespread adoption, especially in regions with older or conventional cooling infrastructure.
Additionally, the limited availability of standardized, pressure-tolerant components creates supply chain challenges and can delay project timelines. The need for precise system design and specialized maintenance adds further complexity and cost, which may deter smaller operators or emerging markets from switching to CO₂-based systems. These technical and compatibility barriers must be addressed through innovation, training, and supply chain expansion to ensure broader market penetration and long-term sustainability.
 
Opportunities
- Growth in cold chain infrastructure
 - Expansion in supermarket refrigeration systems
 - Development of compact transcritical systems
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Adoption in industrial heat pump applications - The increasing use of transcritical CO2 systems in industrial heat pump applications is opening new growth avenues. Industries such as food processing, manufacturing, and district heating are adopting CO2-based heat pumps to meet high-temperature heating needs while minimizing carbon emissions. These systems offer a clean, efficient alternative to fossil fuel-based boilers and are ideal for thermal output above 80°C.
With a growing focus on energy recovery and decarbonization, CO2 heat pumps are being integrated into industrial setups for dual-purpose operations, providing both heating and cooling in one system. Their ability to capture and repurpose waste heat enhances energy efficiency and supports sustainability initiatives.
Government-backed incentives promoting energy-efficient and low-GWP technologies are also encouraging wider adoption. These financial and regulatory supports are particularly beneficial for industries aiming to reduce operational costs and meet net-zero targets.
As industrial energy transition gains momentum globally, the demand for high-efficiency, sustainable heating solutions is expected to grow. Transcritical CO2 systems are positioned to capitalize on this shift, offering scalability, performance, and climate compliance across various sectors.
 
Transcritical Co2 Market Competitive Landscape Analysis
Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Market is experiencing strong momentum as industries shift toward sustainable refrigeration and energy-efficient systems. Companies are pursuing strategic partnerships, collaboration, and targeted merger activities to strengthen technological capabilities. Continuous innovation in system design and component efficiency is driving consistent growth across multiple end-use sectors.
Market Structure and ConcentrationThe market demonstrates moderate concentration, with leading players holding substantial share while specialized firms address niche demands. Consolidation through acquisitions and alliances continues to shape competitive positioning. Companies employ strategies centered on capacity expansion, cost efficiency, and advanced engineering to ensure sustainable growth and resilience.
Brand and Channel StrategiesFirms strengthen brand positioning by highlighting eco-friendly solutions, operational reliability, and regulatory compliance. Channel strategies include partnerships with OEMs, distributors, and installation service providers. Strategic partnerships extend customer reach and improve adoption. Branding initiatives and integrated distribution strategies support long-term growth in competitive environments.
Innovation Drivers and Technological AdvancementsInnovation is being propelled by advanced heat exchanger designs, smart controls, and system integration. Technological advancements in efficiency optimization, high-pressure component durability, and digital monitoring improve performance. Cross-industry collaboration accelerates new product development, ensuring continuous innovation and strong market growth.
Regional Momentum and ExpansionRegional expansion is particularly strong in Europe and North America, supported by regulatory frameworks promoting natural refrigerants, while Asia-Pacific shows rising adoption. Companies adapt strategies through local partnerships, manufacturing presence, and regulatory alignment. Strategic partnerships reinforce competitive positioning and foster consistent growth across key markets.
Future OutlookThe future outlook for the transcritical CO2 market is promising, with growing emphasis on sustainable cooling, energy savings, and regulatory alignment. Mergers and collaboration will play a crucial role in reshaping competition. Firms adopting agile strategies, investing in innovation, and expanding regionally are well positioned to lead this evolving landscape.
Key players in Transcritical Co2 Market include:
- Danfoss
 - Advansor
 - BITZER
 - Carrier / Carrier Commercial Refrigeration
 - Emerson / Emerson Climate Technologies
 - Hillphoenix
 - Baltimore Aircoil Company
 - Mayekawa
 - Carnot Refrigeration
 - SCM Frigo S.p.A.
 - Henry Group / Henry Technologies
 - Panasonic
 - Teko GmbH
 - Green & Cool World Refrigeration AB
 - CCR
 
In this report, the profile of each market player provides following information:
- Market Share Analysis
 - Company Overview and Product Portfolio
 - Key Developments
 - Financial Overview
 - Strategies
 - Company SWOT Analysis
 
- Introduction 
- Research Objectives and Assumptions
 - Research Methodology
 - Abbreviations
 
 - Market Definition & Study Scope
 - Executive Summary 
- Market Snapshot, By Component
 - Market Snapshot, By Function
 - Market Snapshot, By Installation Type
 - Market Snapshot, By Application
 - Market Snapshot, By End-user Industry
 - Market Snapshot, By Region
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market Dynamics 
- Drivers, Restraints and Opportunities 
- Drivers 
- Rising demand for natural refrigerants
 - Supportive regulatory framework for low GWP
 - Energy-efficient commercial cooling systems
 - Phase-out of harmful fluorinated gases
 
 - Restraints 
- High initial setup and system costs
 - Complex design and operational challenges
 - Limited technician training and availability
 - Pressure-related equipment compatibility issues
 
 - Opportunities 
- Growth in cold chain infrastructure
 - Expansion in supermarket refrigeration systems
 - Development of compact transcritical systems
 - Adoption in industrial heat pump applications
 
 
 - Drivers 
 - PEST Analysis 
- Political Analysis
 - Economic Analysis
 - Social Analysis
 - Technological Analysis
 
 - Porter's Analysis 
- Bargaining Power of Suppliers
 - Bargaining Power of Buyers
 - Threat of Substitutes
 - Threat of New Entrants
 - Competitive Rivalry
 
 
 - Drivers, Restraints and Opportunities 
 - Market Segmentation 
- Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Component, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- Compressors
 - Gas Coolers
 - Valves & Controls
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Function, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- Refrigeration
 - Heating
 - Air-Conditioning
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Installation Type, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- New-Build
 - Retrofit
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Application, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- Commercial Refrigeration
 - Industrial Refrigeration
 - Super Markets
 - Others
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By End-user Industry, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- Food Retail
 - Food & Beverage Manufacturing
 - Logistics & Warehousing
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Geography, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
- North America 
- United States
 - Canada
 
 - Europe 
- Germany
 - United Kingdom
 - France
 - Italy
 - Spain
 - Nordic
 - Benelux
 - Rest of Europe
 
 - Asia Pacific 
- Japan
 - China
 - India
 - Australia & New Zealand
 - South Korea
 - ASEAN (Association of South East Asian Countries)
 - Rest of Asia Pacific
 
 - Middle East & Africa 
- GCC
 - Israel
 - South Africa
 - Rest of Middle East & Africa
 
 - Latin America 
- Brazil
 - Mexico
 - Argentina
 - Rest of Latin America
 
 
 - North America 
 
 - Transcritical Carbon Dioxide (Co2) Market, By Component, 2021 - 2031 (USD Million) 
 - Competitive Landscape 
- Company Profiles 
- Danfoss
 - Advansor
 - BITZER
 - Carrier / Carrier Commercial Refrigeration
 - Emerson / Emerson Climate Technologies
 - Hillphoenix
 - Baltimore Aircoil Company
 - Mayekawa
 - Carnot Refrigeration
 - SCM Frigo S.p.A.
 - Henry Group / Henry Technologies
 - Panasonic
 - Teko GmbH
 - Green & Cool World Refrigeration AB
 - CCR
 
 
 - Company Profiles 
 - Analyst Views
 - Future Outlook of the Market
 

